No end of ceasefire talks in sight, says KNU official

May 25, Irrawaddy
No end of ceasefire talks in sight, says KNU official - Shah Paung

There is no sign of a conclusion soon to ceasefire talks between the Karen
National Union and the Burmese military government, a KNU official said on
Wednesday.

David Taw, head of the KNU foreign affairs committee, said a ceasefire
talk’s session had taken place in the Burmese border town of Myawaddy on
May 5, but requests by the KNU for resumption this month had met no
response from the junta.

The KNU delegation, which included David Taw and KNU joint general
secretary Htoo Htoo Lay, met with a Rangoon team headed by Lt-Col Myat
Htun Oo.

Two days after the meeting, three bombs exploded in Rangoon, and the KNU
was among those accused by the regime of responsibility for the attack.
The Burma Army troop strength in KNU-controlled territory was also
reinforced after the Rangoon bombings.

“The KNU is worried that the Burmese military government is now pressuring
ceasefire groups to disarm,” said David Taw.

Ceasefire talks between the KNU and the Burmese military government began
in1993, broke down in 1996 but resumed again in November 2003. In January
2004 a “gentleman’s agreement” was reached between the junta and a KNU
team headed by Gen Bo Mya. The KNU and the Rangoon regime have been locked
in conflict for more than 55 years.

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May 24, Voice of America
Burma's Shan groups end cease-fire with government - Ron Corben

Two of Burma's ethnic Shan rebel groups have joined forces - one breaking
a cease-fire with the military government - as they step up their struggle
for an independent state. The move raises fears of renewed violence in
Burma if other rebel cease-fire agreements break down.

The Shan State National Army, or SSNA, and the Shan State Army agreed to
join forces at a base near the border with Thailand a few days ago. The
agreement between the two rebel groups ends the SSNA's decade-old
cease-fire pact with Burma's military government.

The SSNA accepted a cease-fire in 1995 on the condition that its troops
could keep their arms. But Burma's military this year called on the Shan
to disarm. In February, to add pressure, the military government arrested
several Shan leaders and charged them with treason.

At the ceremony marking the deal between the two Shan groups, SSNA leader
Colonel Sai Yi said "peaceful diplomacy had failed," so the SSNA decided
to work with the Shan State Army. The combined force will have as many
5,000 troops under arms.

Like many other ethnic minority groups in Burma, the Shan community has
fought for an independent state since Burma gained its independence in
1948.

Burma's military government had reached cease-fire agreements with about
17 of the country's rebel groups. Many of the agreements were reached in
talks with officials led by former Prime Minister Khin Nyunt. He was
ousted last year and now is under house arrest. Many regional experts say
they fear the more hard-line government now in place may be trying to
crack down on minority groups.

Debbie Stothard is coordinator for the rights group the Alternative ASEAN
Network on Burma. She says the deal between the Shan groups may be a
reaction to the crackdown.

"It's a very strong and telling development because it tells us that the
moderate Shans - the Shans more willing to compromise with the military -
have decided any benefits from the cease-fire have now been eroded to the
point where they were willing to go to war," she said.

Ms. Stothard says if Rangoon had released the Shan leaders, moderates
would have stood by the cease-fire. She now expects rising tensions
between ethnic groups and the military government. "It is quite possible
that the ethnic groups may take the gamble and see which way the cards
will fall if they take a stand against the military regime," she said.

Dr. Naing Aung, executive director of the Network for Development and
Democracy, a rights group based in Thailand, says the military hopes to
persuade smaller groups such as the Shan to sign cease-fires to put more
pressure on larger ethnic forces - such as the Karen, which does not have
a formal cease-fire agreement with the military. He thinks that plan will
fail.

"The other big ethnic groups that make the cease-fire are aware [of] this
development and they have a serious concern," said Dr. Aung. "As far as I
have heard most of the cease-fire groups - if they are forced to lay down
their arms without reaching an agreement, they will not do it."

Burma is under pressure from many governments, including the European
Union and the United States because of its poor human rights record and
its suppression of the pro-democracy opposition.

Burma says it is trying to gradually move toward democracy and in the past
year it has twice convened a national convention to draft a new
constitution. The SSNA originally took part in the convention, but has
withdrawn because of the pressure to disarm.

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